The #1 AI Edge for Prediction Markets
Upload any bet — sportsbook, Polymarket, or Kalshi. In about a minute: the side to take, its real chance of winning, and the edge after fees.
Live analysis
Will the Fed cut rates at the next meeting?
Edge
+0 pts
Confidence
Medium
Sources
0
Live prices read from
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
- DraftKings
- FanDuel
- BetMGM
- Caesars
- BetRivers
- Fanatics
- Bovada
- BetOnline
- BetUS
- MyBookie
- LowVig
We quote the consensus across every book and show you the best available price. We aren't affiliated with, endorsed by, or partnered with any of them.
Why bettors lose
The book did its homework. Did you?
You bet on vibes more than you'd admit
A hot take, a hunch, a guy on X. The book, meanwhile, priced this game with a quant team and your money funds the difference.
Real research takes an hour per bet
Injuries, line movement, matchup stats, resolution fine print — by the time you've checked it all, the line has moved.
Nobody tells you when NOT to bet
Every tout sells picks. None of them say “this price is fair, keep your money” — because passing doesn't sell subscriptions. It should.
How it works
Three steps. About a minute.
No fake loading bars. Every stage is real work, and you can open all of it.
- 01
Screenshot
Drop in a bet slip, a market link, or just type the question.
- 02
Analyze
Live odds from every book, current reporting, and a critic model that argues the other side.
- BetLeanPass03
Decide
Bet, lean, or pass — with the edge left over after vig and fees.
The verdict system
Every bet gets one of three calls.
No hedging, no word salad. A side, a number, and the reasons — or an honest “pass” when the price is fair.
Bet
The evidence and the math disagree with the price. You get the exact side, the edge after vig and fees, and every source that led there.
“Bet NO at 30c — we make it 41%.”
Lean
There's a better-priced side, but not enough independent signal to call it a strong play. You still get the direction — labeled as exactly that.
“Lean YES — low conviction, wide range.”
Pass
The market has it priced about right, so there's nothing to win after costs. Most services never say this. It's the call that saves you the most money.
“Priced fairly at 56c — keep your stake.”
Every source is rated in plain English
No mysterious quality scores. Each source shows what it is, when it was published, when we retrieved it, and whether it supports YES, supports NO, or is neutral — so five copies of one wire story never count as five independent facts.
See it for yourself — start my $1 trialHistorical tracking
Revisit any forecast and compare it to what actually happened
Analyses are versioned and never overwritten. When research or the price changes, a new version is saved so you can see how — and why — the forecast moved.
Forecast history
Every AI probability and market price is timestamped, so you can watch the estimate evolve as evidence arrives.
Outcome comparison
Once a market resolves, we compare your saved forecast to the real result and score it.
Personal accuracy
See your own calibration over time — are your 70% calls actually happening about 70% of the time?
Pricing
Start for $1.
One plan, full access, 3 days for $1. Cancel anytime from your account — no calls, no forms.
Sharply Pro
Full access. Cancel anytime.
- Unlimited bet & market analyses
- Live odds, line movement & no-vig edge
- Injuries, form & news research with citations
- Critic pass + confidence & calibration tracking
- Watchlists, history & data export
- Priority processing
You're charged $1 today. Unless you cancel, your subscription ($39.99/month) begins automatically after 3 days and renews monthly until cancelled.
Just exploring? Take a look around — no card required until you run an analysis.
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Billing, answered
What happens after the 3-day trial?+
Your card is charged $39.99 automatically when the trial ends, and your subscription renews every month after that — unless you cancel before the trial ends.
Can I cancel anytime?+
Yes. Cancel from Settings → Billing in one click. You'll keep access through the end of your current paid period; no retention calls, no email required.
Is my payment secure?+
Payments are processed by Stripe, a PCI-compliant payment processor used by millions of businesses. Sharply never sees or stores your card number.
What if I forget to cancel?+
If you don't plan to continue, cancel right after starting the trial — you'll keep full access until the trial ends either way. If you're ever charged unexpectedly, contact us and we'll make it right.
Prices in USD. Sharply is a research tool, not a betting service — you are responsible for your own decisions.
FAQ
Questions, answered honestly
What's the $1 offer?+
Start a Pro subscription for $1 and get full access for 3 days. After that, it's $39.99/month — one plan, no annual option. Cancel anytime before the trial ends and you won't be charged further. See the Pricing section for full billing terms.
Is this financial or betting advice?+
No. Sharply produces probability estimates and evidence to help you think. It is not investment, legal, or betting advice, and we are not a broker or exchange. You are responsible for your own decisions.
Will it tell me how much to bet?+
No. We show fair value, break-even, and estimated net edge, but we never tell you how much money to risk, never encourage chasing losses, and never recommend borrowing.
Where do the sources come from?+
From official APIs, primary documents, reputable data providers, and established reporting — accessed through compliant channels. Each source is timestamped and rated, and we link you to the original.
How accurate is it?+
We don't claim accuracy we haven't measured. Outcomes are recorded automatically as markets settle, and every forecast is scored with Brier score and calibration on the Accuracy page. Until enough predictions have resolved to be statistically meaningful, that page says so plainly rather than showing a flattering number. Treat estimates as a research aid, not a guarantee.
Do you execute trades or connect to my wallet?+
No. There is no wallet connection and no automatic trade execution. The product is a research tool only.
Use it responsibly
Prediction markets involve real risk and you can lose money. Estimates can be incomplete or wrong, and prices move quickly. Past forecast performance does not guarantee future results. Sharply is a research tool, not a guarantee of profit. If gambling is affecting your life, please seek support in your region.